Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.369326 0.477308 0.594477 0.729354 0.878785 1.037922 1.218926
2025-10-12 0.230309 0.375370 0.549497 0.765533 1.019429 1.302686 1.637464
2025-10-19 0.174439 0.338778 0.550312 0.824956 1.158399 1.539371 1.998070
2025-10-26 0.129599 0.303755 0.544011 0.868919 1.274312 1.746419 2.323080
2025-11-02 0.087323 0.259178 0.515899 0.878033 1.342044 1.892145 2.572896
2025-11-09 0.043767 0.194932 0.449464 0.829023 1.331492 1.939801 2.703863
2025-11-16 0.015605 0.139022 0.383596 0.772123 1.304345 1.962284 2.800639
2025-11-23 0.004340 0.107387 0.348854 0.753508 1.322802 2.037644 2.958062
2025-11-30 0.000746 0.091139 0.337085 0.766026 1.380888 2.161180 3.172881
2025-12-07 NaN 0.071719 0.314629 0.759679 1.411697 2.249143 3.343391
2025-12-14 NaN 0.050668 0.282249 0.734255 1.413947 2.299148 3.466002
2025-12-21 NaN 0.047889 0.290380 0.773711 1.506487 2.464904 3.731636
2025-12-28 NaN 0.047163 0.304839 0.826357 1.621664 2.665009 4.046573
2026-01-04 NaN 0.043444 0.311027 0.865554 1.718695 2.842963 4.335829
2026-01-11 NaN 0.045001 0.331398 0.928700 1.849793 3.065041 4.679887
2026-01-18 NaN 0.043297 0.342237 0.975499 1.957566 3.256949 4.986606
2026-01-25 NaN 0.035095 0.332044 0.985170 2.011458 3.378271 5.204955
2026-02-01 NaN 0.019282 0.288699 0.933065 1.973647 3.377972 5.269767
2026-02-08 NaN 0.007613 0.243811 0.872455 1.919903 3.354252 5.303140
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003162 0.222149 0.852598 1.925077 3.407490 5.432603
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001744 0.217637 0.865953 1.980407 3.527962 5.647657
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000364 0.203889 0.859183 2.004152 3.605374 5.807411
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.181623 0.832046 1.994994 3.637296 5.908229